Presidential Election Thoughts

I think this presidential race is going to be a close one, it's going to be a close, dirty, angry race, but i do believe Obama will pull through.

I think the first and most basic reason is that at the end of the day Obama is more likable than Romney. Romney may be trying to make Obama look bad, but both Obama AND Romney are making Romney look bad.  Romney is a millionaire, the first presidential candidate to have overseas bank accounts, he won'r release his tax returns.

This doesn't mean Obama is some kind of paragon of presidency.  He has his failings, and there are programs and laws he had suggested that have been shut down, and he has said things that allowed for extremely negative interpretation.

But nothing Obama has done is above and beyond what a typical president would not succede in accomplishing.  I don't believe the dissatisfaction of Obama's presidency is strong enough to convince people to vote against their own interests.  It's not as strong as the sentiment against Bush, its just disillusionment that Obama is not as awesome as his strongest supporters said he'd be.

Given the fact that sitting presidents are rarely voted out of office (only 10 out of 38), and Obama certainly hasen't made anything worse, i do not believe the Obama hate is strong enough to un-seat him.

Unless Romney gets caught volunteering in a soup kitchen in Detroit handing out 100 dollar bills, (which he wont do), or Obama get caught banging an intern (which I hope he wont do either), i believe it will be close, but Obama's got it.